Civil war will start 2021? Poll says many Americans think so

By Lee Cleveland, Polls and Trends - February 9, 2021

There have been rumblings about the possibility of a second U.S. Civil War since the late 1980s but, until the past few years, those theories were considered fringe by most.

Until recently, tragedies and tough times, such as World War II and The Great Depression, always seemed to unite America. And remember how the country came together following the terrorist attacks on September 11, 2001?

But the Coronavirus outbreak of 2020, the most serious pandemic of its kind in over a century, did not nothing to bring Americans together. In fact, reaction to the international outbreak was heavily politicized in the U.S., further deepening an already-serious divide.

Many had hoped the start of 2021 would serve as a turning point for better unity but just six days into the new year we saw thousands of insurrectionists unleash a violent attack against the 117th United States Congress at the U.S. Capitol. Not since the Battle of Fort Stevens ( Washington, D.C., July, 1864) had an American institution, the legislative branch of the federal government, faced such a grave, physical threat. And not since the War of 1812 had the U.S. Capitol been forcibly breached.

The mob, incited by supporters of then President Donald Trump in the final two weeks of his reign, failed in their attempt to overturn his defeat in the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election but succeeded in causing tremendous outrage among some and invigorating others.

Unlike what happened in 1814, the Capitol wasn’t burned to the ground but the building itself as well as our federal institutions and the pillars of democracy were desecrated that day. And unlike the reactions to the September 11 terrorist attacks, reactions to the insurrection were political and divisive.

Is America headed for a second civil war?

According to a new Zogby poll, most think so.

46% – Yes
43% – No
11% – Unsure

“It’s quite astounding that nearly half of voters think we are headed for bloodshed!” John Zogby said in the poll analysis.

What’s more distressing is the similarity in numbers among Democrats, Republicans and independents.

Is America headed for a second civil war?

Republicans (49% likely, 40% unlikely)
Democrats (45% likely, 44% unlikely)
Independents (42% likely, 44% unlikely)

“For once, political parties-Republicans, Democrats and independents were somewhat in agreement, but the fact all political stripes think a civil war is inevitable is not the bipartisanship we were hoping for,” said Zogby.

And there’s a high degree of pessimism among each of the three predominant races in America, especially Hispanics and Blacks.

Whites (43% likely, 44% unlikely)
Hispanics (53% likely, 39% unlikely)
Blacks (49% likely, 39% unlikely)

Also, people living in large cities (55% likely and 38% unlikely) were much more likely to think the country will have another civil war than those who live in the suburbs (36% likely and 48% unlikely).

Rural Americans were not mentioned.

Perhaps the biggest problem today, as it relates to division, is Americans live in vastly different realities.

Due to the Internet and growth of social media, Americans are getting access to all kinds of information and misinformation, and largely believe what they want to.

And if the facts don’t fit their narrative, they simply cover their ears, walk away, stop consuming the information, or label the data as “fake.”

For better or worse, we give a lot of underserving people a platform to spew their nonsensical rhetoric and conspiracy theories. And despite the often-groundless claims made by illegitimate news sources, they often succeed in tapping into the biggest fears and insecurities of the most vulnerable in society. As a result, a lot of people have jaded views of America and, quite possibly, the world.

Is America headed for a second civil war in 2021 or within the next 5 years? If so, how will it be different from the first?

The below U.S. second civil war video is not related to the afforementioned Zogby poll.

A Civil war will start in 2021? Please share your thoughts.


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