Kemp vs Collins: Poll suggests Georgia governor is in hot water

By Lee Cleveland, Polls and Trends - January 4, 2021

Georgia Governor Brian Kemp would lose his state’s Republican gubernatorial primary to Rep. Doug Collins if the election were this week, according to top-level pollster The Trafalgar Group.

The state’s next gubernatorial race will be in 2022.

The Trafalgar Group founder Robert Cahaly tweeted the results of his company’s poll Saturday. Per the GOP pollster, Collins is ahead of Kemp 46.2% to 24.5%, with about 7% leaning toward Kemp and 6% leaning toward Collins. Over 15% were undecided.

After The Trafalgar Group’s survey was made public, President Donald Trump gloated, “I guess it’s not good to go against a President who everyone in Georgia knows got you into office.”

Truth be told, Kemp has been one of Trump’s strongest allies since the former became governor in January 2019.

However, the president, ever since losing Georgia in the 2020 U.S Presidential Election, has been relentless in attacking Kemp because the governor refused to break the law and attempt to reverse the outcome.

Trump has a history of trashing government officials when they refuse to break the law on his behalf, no matter how loyal they’d been to him.

Remember former Secretary of State Rex Tillerson? How about former National Security Advisor John Bolton and former Attorney General Bill Barr?

Will Kemp go the way of Jeff Sessions, a former longtime U.S. Senator and former Attorney General under Trump?

Sessions, the first high-profile active politician to support Trump’s bid for president, left the Senate to become Trump’s attorney general in February 2017. However, his tenure would be cut short.

In his confirmation hearings, Sessions stated under oath that he did not have contact with Russian officials during the 2016 presidential campaign and that he was unaware of any contact between Trump campaign members and Russian officials. However, in March 2017, news reports revealed Sessions had twice met with Russian ambassador Sergey Kislyak in 2016. As a result, Sessions later recused himself from any investigations into Russian interference in the 2016 United States elections, much to the president’s chagrin.

On November 7, 2018, Sessions, with pressure from Trump, resigned his position. And it was squarely because Sessions hadn’t recused himself.

The president, who had ridiculed and criticized the “beleaguered Jeff Sessions” during his reign as attorney general, took great pleasure in tarnishing what had been a solid career.

Having represented Alabama in the U.S Senate for 20 years (1997-2017), Sessions went back home hoping to regain his old seat that had since been won by Democrat Doug Jones in the state’s special election in 2017.

But things had changed for Sessions.

Once an icon in conservative politics and a legend of sorts in Alabama, Sessions’ reputation among Trump supporters had taken a severe hit during his time as attorney general, thanks to the president’s taunting and unwarranted criticism. As a result, Sessions failed to survive his state’s Republican primary in 2020, losing to current Senator Tommy Tuberville 61 to 39 percent.

Sessions, like Bill Barr and Rex Tillerson, was ostracized for simply upholding the law and doing the job he swore to do.

Governor Brian Kemp, whose reputation has been smeared by the president for simply honoring his Oath and abiding by the law, will probably meet the same fate as Sessions.

About The Trafalgar Group

The Trafalgar Group is a right-leaning Republican pollster that famously forecasted Donald Trump’s upset wins in Michigan and Pennsylvania in the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election. They have a knack for calling the big upsets other pollsters don’t see coming and should always be taken seriously.

Even when incorrectly predicting the winner, their forecasts, since 2018, have often been numerically closer to the result than most other pollsters.

Tags: Brian Kemp, Doug Collins, Georgia Governors Race, Kemp vs Collins, The Trafalgar Group


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