2022 Georgia Governor’s race: Beware, Trump and GOP

By Lee Cleveland, Polls and Trends - January 30, 2021

Former President Donald Trump seems hellbent on ruing the political career of Republican Georgia Governor Brian Kemp.

On Monday, The New York Times reported that Trump might spend some of the $70 Million he has in PAC money reserves to blast Kemp out of the 2022 Georgia Gubernatorial Primary. (There are few restrictions Trump has on that money).

Why?

For the most part, it’s because Governor Kemp did his job by allowing his state’s results to be certified in the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election after no evidence of widespread fraud was found.

Following at least two recounts and thorough examinations into voter fraud, the “claims” spigot turned up dry and Biden went on to carry the state’s 16 electoral votes and subsequently win the presidency.

N.B: The Georgia result didn’t directly impact the winner of the election itself.

Trump and many of his supporters will insist Kemp didn’t do enough to investigate alleged voter fraud in Georgia.

However, the real reason for the former president’s animosity is simple – Governor Kemp refused to illegally disenfranchise tens of thousands of Georgia voters and jerry rig the election in Trump’s favor.

“Mr. Trump’s deepest hostility is reserved for Gov. Brian Kemp of Georgia, advisers said, and they expect he will expend the most energy trying to damage Mr. Kemp’s re-election bid,” said The New York Times report.

Trump has even called on Kemp, who had always been loyal to and supportive of Trump to resign.

The former president still has tremendous influence in the Republican Party and will for quite some time. And yes, GOP politicians who haven’t always obeyed Trump have typically lost in their primaries or general elections or have been forced to step aside beforehand.

If Trump aims to get revenge on Governor Kemp and forces him to stumble in the 2022 Republican Gubernatorial Primary, he may well succeed. However, it will do little or nothing to further his party’s cause.

When is the next Georgia governor’s election?

Answer: The 2022 Georgia Governors race will take place on November 8, 2022; The primaries will take place during the summer.

In fact, it may hinder it as Republicans aren’t exactly heroes in Georgia these days.

Democrats have won three straight high-profile races in Georgia, lifting Biden in November and subsequently flipping two U.S. Senate seats there earlier this month. And let’s not forget, as the Republican gubernatorial nominee in 2018, Brian Kemp was taken the distance by Democratic foe Stacey Abrams; It was the closest governor’s race in that state since 1966.

Of the approximate 3.9 million votes cast, Kemp bested Abrams by 1.4 percentage points, 50.2 to 48.8.

The defeat for Democrats was a win of sorts for them because it confirmed Republicans were losing their dominance in Georgia and gave Democrats momentum heading into the presidential and senate races of 2020.

Moreover, Democrats were working at a disadvantage in 2018 as those in power created obstacles for Georgia citizens, particularly people of color, to exercise their fundamental right to vote.

Should minorities in Georgia remain enthusiastic and voting processes maintain some semblance of fairness going forward, a conservative will have a formidable battle winning a gubernatorial race there.

Weeks ago, two of their incumbent Republican senators lost their elections by over 55,000 and 93,000 votes, far outpacing Biden’s win in November.

When Georgia gets out the vote, it leans blue.

… And a bitter GOP primary where Republican candidates unleash vile shots at one another won’t bode well for them in the face of a popular, unscathed Democrat.

Trump seems to want to create a nasty war in Georgia’s GOP that’s based nothing more than his hurt feelings for losing the election, lies and claims that have been proven false time and time again.

Advantage Democrats.

Tags: Georgia Governors Race, Stacey Abrams

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