2020 Presidential Election White voters: Trump’s rage explained?

By Lee Cleveland, Polls and Trends - December 31, 2020

President Donald Trump appears to be having a problem accepting the election result.

And he’s irate at those who have acknowledged the fair outcome. For example, nearly eight weeks after the election he hasn’t stopped fuming at Georgia’s Governor Brian Kemp, a Republican who’d been very loyal to him in the past.

Yesterday, Trump called for Gov. Kemp to resign for refusing to back up the president’s claim that he won Georgia even though, after at least two recounts and multiple court challenges, his loss was confirmed and no evidence of meaningful fraud was found.

President Trump, right, with Gov. Brian Kemp (R) of Georgia.

He’s contested his loss in every way possible and, with less than three weeks before President-elect Joe Biden’s inauguration, many of us are on pins and needles wondering if Trump will declare martial law as a last-ditch effort to stay in office.

Should Trump go that route, who knows what it will lead to?

So, why is Trump seemingly so convinced he was robbed and should get a second term?

There are many reasons but one in particular comes to mind – The 2020 Presidential Election White vote.

Perhaps Trump believes his winning a majority (58 percent) of the White vote should be enough to justify some sort of anointing or privilege to the presidency?


Fact: Trump has incorrectly stated several times that he received 52 percent of women’s vote in the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election.

At a March 2018 rally in Pennsylvania, for instance, Trump told the crowd:

“Hey, didn’t we surprise them with women during the election? Remember? ‘Women won’t like Donald Trump.’ I said, ‘Have I really had that kind of a problem? I don‘t think so.’ But, ‘Women won’t like Donald Trump. It will be a rough night for Donald Trump because the women won’t come out.’

We got 52%. Right? 52. Right?”

But, Trump didn’t win a majority of the women vote in 2016. He received 42%, while 54% of women voted for Hillary Clinton, according to exit poll data conducted by Edison Research and most other top pollsters.

So, what’s the big deal, right?

Among White women he did garner 52 percent of support.

Were Trump’s repetitious mistakes a coincidence… or were they “mistakes” at all? After all, he lost women by fairly large margin (54-42 percent) so it’s difficult to see how he could repeatedly err on the subject.

Perhaps Trump considers White women the only female voter demographic of consequence?

Courtesy Business Insider per Edison

… And if he dismisses non-white women voters chances are he discounts non-white voters in their entirety and expects other White Republicans in power, such as Georgia’s Governor Kemp and Whites serving on the Courts, to follow suit.

That theory might explain why Trump’s lawyers, in disputing the 2020 Presidential Election results, primarily focused on getting votes invalidated from areas with a high percentage of minorities, such as Wayne County, Michigan and Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.

Unlawful because most of those voters aren’t White, Rudy?

Team Trump’s Major Requests: Count votes from Michigan but ignore Detroit. And tally votes in Pennsylvania but ignore Philadelphia and Pittsburgh. Throw them all out!

And his team’s brazen tactics only suggest they assumed White Republicans in power would find bogus reasons to disenfranchise minority voters in states he needed to win the election.

Black History Month 2020 - African Americans and the Vote - OUTMemphis
In the heart of the Civil Rights movement, almost 100 years after the 15th Amendment was ratified, Lyndon B. Johnson would pass the Voting Rights Act of 1965, dismantling these state-level barriers to suffrage and ensuring that the right to vote was free and open for all. This Act has been updated five times since, expanding its protections each time making it more and more possible for those who have been disenfranchised to have access to a ballot.

America has a history of suppressing the voting rights of minorities, especially Blacks; It’s an undeniable fact.

Perhaps that’s what Make America Great Again is all about… Turning back the clock to the pre civil rights days?

Unfortunately for Team Trump, it’s 2020 not 1960, 1920 or 1880.

White men: 2020 vs 2016

Trump improved among White women in the 2020 election versus the 2016 race by winning 55 percent of that demographic. So surely Trump should have won the election, right?

But White men, Trump’s most reliable demographic, proved critical in helping Joe Biden unseat the Republican incumbent.

Courtesy Business Insider per Edison

In 2020, unlike 2016, White male anti-Trumpers largely ignored third party candidates and rallied around Biden. The significance of third party candidates in the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election cannot be underestimated and is one of the most overlooked takeaways in U.S. Presidential Election history.

In his re-election effort, Trump only dropped a percentage point among White males. However, White men’s support for the Democratic candidate skyrocketed from 31 to 38 percent from 2016 to 2020.

Second, raw White male support for Trump in 2020, unwavering in most parts of the country, weakened in several key swing states versus 2016.

In sum, Biden flipped a lot of White males in crucial swing states where Trump needed their support the most. He also won over a large percentage of White men who voted for a third party candidate in the 2016 election.

Presidential candidates who have won the White vote but lost the election

Trump is far from the only presidential candidate to win a majority of White voters but lose the election.

In 1976, White voters supported Jimmy Carter (48 percent) less than Gerald Ford (52 percent).

And in the 1992, White voters tilted towards George H.W. Bush (41 percent) over Bill Clinton (39 percent) while Bob Dole (46 percent), in 1996, bested Clinton (44 percent) in the same demographic. Ross Perot received 21 and 9 percent of the White vote in 1992 and 1996, respectively.

More recently, and prior to Joe Biden in 2020, White voters supported John McCain (55%) over Barack Obama (43%) in 2008 and Mitt Romney (59%) over Obama (39%) in 2012.

Of course, Ford, Bush, Dole, McCain and Romney lost those elections.

Does President Trump believe his winning a majority of White male and female voters in the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election should somehow legitimize his case for victory over Biden?

(Main image courtesy of NBC News)

Tags: Donald Trump, U.S. Presidential Race 2020

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